Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.175780 0.204327 0.236091 0.274067 0.318256 0.368083 0.428576
2025-03-09 0.133109 0.171600 0.219075 0.282004 0.363357 0.465163 0.602556
2025-03-16 0.108193 0.149725 0.204699 0.282927 0.391665 0.537901 0.750276
2025-03-23 0.092815 0.136068 0.196706 0.288141 0.423001 0.615378 0.912109
2025-03-30 0.078581 0.121057 0.183624 0.282798 0.436758 0.667863 1.043429
2025-04-06 0.068211 0.109835 0.173915 0.280129 0.452755 0.723996 1.185954
2025-04-13 0.060599 0.101597 0.167308 0.280767 0.473070 0.788146 1.348366
2025-04-20 0.056571 0.098479 0.168219 0.293318 0.513830 0.889563 1.585137
2025-04-27 0.052668 0.094957 0.167842 0.303326 0.551072 0.988975 1.830904
2025-05-04 0.049021 0.091346 0.166740 0.311672 0.586024 1.088036 2.088363
2025-05-11 0.044980 0.086462 0.162685 0.313931 0.609742 1.169024 2.321839
2025-05-18 0.040782 0.080732 0.156332 0.310915 0.622775 1.231001 2.525704
2025-05-25 0.036231 0.073850 0.147148 0.301572 0.622871 1.269199 2.689887
2025-06-01 0.034150 0.071658 0.146895 0.310186 0.660541 1.387394 3.037096
2025-06-08 0.031532 0.068013 0.143242 0.311205 0.682289 1.475121 3.330452
2025-06-15 0.029633 0.065646 0.141920 0.316948 0.714770 1.589315 3.697541
2025-06-22 0.026945 0.061221 0.135682 0.311063 0.720591 1.645642 3.939624
2025-06-29 0.024782 0.057708 0.131019 0.308124 0.732676 1.717343 4.227433
2025-07-06 0.023105 0.055107 0.128093 0.308826 0.753329 1.811230 4.581745
2025-07-13 0.022464 0.054869 0.130559 0.322651 0.807299 1.990778 5.174629
2025-07-20 0.021668 0.054158 0.131822 0.333677 0.855718 2.162724 5.771980
2025-07-27 0.020807 0.053183 0.132332 0.342871 0.900640 2.331442 6.384458
2025-08-03 0.019634 0.051277 0.130327 0.345359 0.928428 2.459641 6.905203